If you feel exhausted after last month’s market action, you’re not alone. April delivered some of the most extreme volatility the S&P 500 has seen in decades: We kicked things off with a –12.1% drop in just four days — the 6th largest 4-day decline since 1950. Then came a +9.5% single-day gain, the 3rd […]
In November 2004, the first gold ETF (GLD) launched, now the world’s largest. Here’s a surprising fact: if you’d invested in GLD on that day instead of SPY (the largest S&P 500 ETF), your gold investment would be worth more today—even on a total return basis. For years, the mantra has been “diversification is dead” […]
Two charts caught my attention recently: The number of new houses for sale that haven’t started construction, and The number of completed new houses for sale. Both are eye-opening. New houses for sale but not yet started represent the pipeline of future supply — the earliest stage of the new home process. In the latest […]
Gold has been on a remarkable run, capturing attention as investors flock to this often-under-allocated asset amid the U.S.’s evolving political and fiscal landscape. But for those new to the gold rush, the burning question is: Is it too late to jump in? Historically, the answer depends on your investment horizon. Since 1980, gold has […]
Yesterday, the S&P 500 triggered its first Death Cross since March 2022. With a name like that, it’s hard not to take notice — second only, in my opinion, to the Hindenburg Omen when it comes to ominous-sounding market signals….. So, what is a Death Cross? It’s when the 50-day moving average dips below the […]
Today, the S&P 500 surged 9.5%—marking the third-highest daily return since 1950. Moves like this aren’t typically seen in calm bull markets. Historically, the largest up days often occur during bear markets, closely following major selloffs. It’s the market’s way of violently recalibrating after intense structural repricing. At Bruce Wood Capital, we’ve been noting signs […]
Q1 2025 was a rollercoaster—tariff fears, inflation worries, geopolitical tensions, and a stock market correction dominated the headlines, painting a grim picture. But let’s zoom in: the market’s story isn’t as bleak as it seems. Our latest chart reveals a surprising bright spot: 8 out of 11 sectors outperformed the MSCI ACWI Index (the global […]
Congrats, bulls! After dipping below its 200-day moving average on March 10th, the S&P 500 reclaimed it yesterday—just 14 days later. Historically, that’s a fast recovery. Since 1970, outside of recessions, the S&P 500 has typically spent 23 days below the 200-day after crossing it, making this snapback notably swift. Even more impressive? The gains. […]
With the S&P 500 closing at 5521 yesterday, we’ve now dropped over 10% from all-time highs—meeting the official definition of a market correction. The key question: How much more downside is ahead? While no one knows for certain, history provides useful insights into what’s likely next. Corrections vs. Bear Markets: The state of the economy […]
Do you believe there has been—or soon will be—a significant, broad-based decline in economic activity lasting more than a few months? If so, you think we’re either in a recession or heading toward one. That’s not just opinion—that’s the official definition used by the National Bureau of Economic Research, the organization that formally declares recessions […]