There’s been growing chatter that weakening air travel signals economic trouble ahead. But when you dig into the TSA data, the story looks quite different. Here’s why it matters: Airline travel is one of the clearest forms of discretionary spending — whether for business or leisure. People typically fly because they choose to, not because […]
CPI came in cooler than expected again today — the fifth consecutive month where monthly inflation has surprised to the downside. That’s undoubtedly welcome news for consumers and markets alike. But it’s important to keep perspective: inflation is cumulative. Month-over-month figures only compare today’s prices to last month’s — not to where we were a […]
Friday’s news of Moody’s downgrading U.S. debt? Retail investors saw it as a buying opportunity. According to JP Morgan’s Emma Wu, retail traders poured $4.1 billion into U.S. stocks in just the first three hours of trading on Monday — the largest single-morning inflow on record. That buying helped erase overnight losses, with the S&P […]
Yesterday, the S&P 500 closed lower—snapping a rare 9-day winning streak. If that feels like a big deal, it’s because it is. Historically, win streaks of this magnitude tend to happen when the market is in an uptrend, typically defined by trading above the 200-day moving average. But this streak occurred while the S&P was […]
If you feel exhausted after last month’s market action, you’re not alone. April delivered some of the most extreme volatility the S&P 500 has seen in decades: We kicked things off with a –12.1% drop in just four days — the 6th largest 4-day decline since 1950. Then came a +9.5% single-day gain, the 3rd […]
In November 2004, the first gold ETF (GLD) launched, now the world’s largest. Here’s a surprising fact: if you’d invested in GLD on that day instead of SPY (the largest S&P 500 ETF), your gold investment would be worth more today—even on a total return basis. For years, the mantra has been “diversification is dead” […]
Two charts caught my attention recently: The number of new houses for sale that haven’t started construction, and The number of completed new houses for sale. Both are eye-opening. New houses for sale but not yet started represent the pipeline of future supply — the earliest stage of the new home process. In the latest […]
Gold has been on a remarkable run, capturing attention as investors flock to this often-under-allocated asset amid the U.S.’s evolving political and fiscal landscape. But for those new to the gold rush, the burning question is: Is it too late to jump in? Historically, the answer depends on your investment horizon. Since 1980, gold has […]
Yesterday, the S&P 500 triggered its first Death Cross since March 2022. With a name like that, it’s hard not to take notice — second only, in my opinion, to the Hindenburg Omen when it comes to ominous-sounding market signals….. So, what is a Death Cross? It’s when the 50-day moving average dips below the […]
Today, the S&P 500 surged 9.5%—marking the third-highest daily return since 1950. Moves like this aren’t typically seen in calm bull markets. Historically, the largest up days often occur during bear markets, closely following major selloffs. It’s the market’s way of violently recalibrating after intense structural repricing. At Bruce Wood Capital, we’ve been noting signs […]